Archive for the "Trading" Category

14.02.2012 Post in Trading

elliottRalf Nelson Elliott is an American accountant. He was born in 1871. From the age of 20 he worked in executive positions for railroad companies in Mexico. Later he entered the accounting field and was known as a qualified economist. Elliott took part in international government projects, was appreciated as auditor and consultant. He published several books on business organization, economic and social issues. In 1927 Elliott started successful consulting business.

Unfortunately, by 1929 malignant anemia had left him bedridden. Nevertheless, Elliot remained a man of action and creativity and therefore continued his work despite the serious illness. His studies were focused on stock market. Elliot was influenced by works of Charles Dow and Robert Rhea. Having investigated the equity market, he discovered new unknown patterns of price movement. After the thorough analysis which took him several years, Elliott presented his conclusions to the financial world. When Elliot’s discoveries proved to be practically useful, his articles were published in popular magazines and newsletters. Elliot himself became an analyst whose opinion was considered by biggest investors.

In 1938 appeared the book “The Wave Principle” where he detailed the results of his studies and described his method. His next book entitled “Nature`s Law – The Secret of the Universe” was published in 1946.

We can say that Elliot continued the Dow’s theory of cycles, waves and ripples on ascending and descending market trends. He emphasized the fact that the activity of great mass of people results in price changes regulated by specific laws that can be traced in different fields. Elliot compares them to nature’s laws and gives the examples of the similar patterns in flora and fauna. He stated that crowd behavior has several psychological stages, whether this is a slave rebellion or stock exchange trading. The development of both can be traced on different timeframes (from minutes to centuries). The author describes the peculiarities and signs of changeability for different phases and in what way it is possible to take an advantage of it.

According to the wave principle each market event can be considered as an effect and cause of important information. This interconnection can be explained by social nature of humans. Therefore, this process generates the repeating figures.

volnaAccording to Elliot, waves are the models of directed motion. Each wave has one of two possible functions: action or reaction. Particularly, each wave can stimulate the development of the upper wave or interrupt it. The relative direction of a wave defines its function. As a rule, waves are interchanged according to their length: long-short etc. Each wave can be divided into several short waves. Therefore waves are fractal, i.e. on the same part of the chart we can observe waves of different scale, depending on the timeframe.

We can come to a conclusion that Ralf Nelson Elliot was some sort of romantic scientist, partly philosopher, partly naturalist. His theories are still used by traders, though some of them accuse Elliott in cheating.

Classical wave analysis is quite complicated but the examination of its underlying concepts can be useful to forecast price movements and levels.

Added by Tatyana Makhina,
InstaForex Clients’ relationship manager

10.02.2012 Post in Trading

Once we have got some spare money, we start considering profitable investment methods. There are several alternatives to choose from: bank account, trust management, real estate, financial markets.

Depositing to a bank account is frequently preferred by investors as it is risk-free. Investing in a bank account does not require any special skills of capital management, it is very simple: you just go to a bank, leave your money on an account and watch your deposit accumulating interest. But yet there are a series of restrictions to remember about. Firstly, interest rates hardly run over inflation, which means that you gain almost no return as such. Secondly, as a rule, high interest is accrued on large deposits. But unfortunately, you might not have a sum with many zeroes at the end. Thirdly, such deposits are typically uwithdrawable either totally or partially; apparently, it is not convenient.

investAnother variant of investment is open-end funds based on the trust management principle. This way of investing funds carries more risks than the abovementioned one: no profitability is guaranteed, moreover, you could not receive the investment back. In addition, in case with open-end funds, an investor cannot influence the process of money management: after the shares are purchased, your money is managed by someone else, not you. The liquidity of shares is low too. In case with trust management, you have a strategy developed exclusively for you and you are still able to influence the process. Mind that the minimum capital of a customer is to be over 1000 USD. Both open-end funds and trust managers charge a certain commission for their work.

Forex offers trust management service as well within the framework of the PAMM system. The minimum deposit required is 1 USD and the return can be withdrawn at any moment.

Real estate is also a rather favourable sector to invest in. However not everyone can afford such an expensive purchase. Real estate items can be leased or sold at much of a profit. Profitable dealing with real estate takes profound knowledge of the housing market, thorough search for tenants or buyers, negotiating, consulting with specialists and months of waiting for an increase in housing prices.

Entering Forex requires less money than purchasing a real estate item. As for the working process, it is plain. Trades of any volume are carried out promptly anytime. There are sellers and buyers in various parts of the world every minute.

And the last way of investment we are going to dwell on is the stock market where securities are traded. “Securities” is a term used to loosely describe stocks, bonds and derivatives etc, i.e. documents that represent evidence of ownership of a certain asset. On the stock market profit is only gained when the rate is on increase. Margin trading is not held here which means that you cannot use a leverage to make trades more effective. Trading hours on the stock market are determined by those of a corresponding stock exchange.

Liquidity of currency operations is higher than liquidity of those with securities. Unlike stock exchanges, Forex has no specific location and is open 24 hours a day.

There are other investment alternatives of course. Your choice depends on your financial resources and analytical skills. Investment in Forex appears to have many advantages, including high liquidity, continuous trading process, enticing minimum deposit required, leverage, profits on both a bearish market and a bullish one.

It is worth noting however that the rest of investment ways, except for bank account, imply some risks. That is why, it is so important to develop your skills of market analysis and capital management.

Added by Denis Minenkov,
InstaForex Clients’ relationship manager

02.02.2012 Post in Trading

smartA goal is a result you want to achieve. There is no point in doing something if it is not aimed at reaching a certain goal. Any objective should be well-determined; otherwise you may fail to achieve it. Today traders have good knowledge of management, which is very helpful in their daily work. Management implies some standards for goals to meet; the researchers have found out that objectives that meet these standards are more effective.

So, formulating objectives properly is crucial and easy with the help of a simple SMART methodology based on the following criteria:
  • S for Specific;
  • M for Measurable;
  • A for Achievable;
  • R for Realistic;
  • T for Time-based;
The criteria considered above are versatile; they can be applied to various aspects of our life as business, personal development etc.
Let us have a closer look at them:
S for Specific
Objective Setting should result in a clear answer to the question:”What will I do?” So, abstract or ambiguous formulations are no good. With a vague goal in mind, your results will be much different from what you planned. Forget objectives like “to earn much money” or “ensure decent income” as they lack any sense.
M for Measurable
Any goal should be characterized by certain parameters possible to be measured. These parameters help assess to what extent your objective has been achieved. This is a rather complicated criterion, particularly on Forex where forecasting profit is next to impossible. Nevertheless, planning some benchmarks is crucial to control the progress. You can set any parameters such as profit size, percentages or ratios, frequency of making trades, limits to their volume etc.
A for Achievable
An objective is in fact your impetus to solve small sub-goals lying on the way to the ultimate goal. That is why, to make it achievable, make sure that it conforms to your skills and abilities and is consistent with other objectives you have.
R for Realistic
Objectives should be feasible to reach, while sub-goals – common-sensible yet challenging. However you should be sure of your ability to achieve them. Rational ambition will further inspire you unless you overlook plotting a precise plan and defining a period for achievement of an objective.
T for Time-based
You need to outline a certain time period within which you will reach an objective. Otherwise, there is a risk you will never make it to the ultimate goal.
The stage of objective definition is followed by elaborating a detailed plan on the objective realization.
Set smart goals and you will succeed in achieving them!

Added by Dmitry Antipov,
InstaForex Clients’ relationship manager

25.01.2012 Post in Trading

Forex is the international currency market. However, besides currencies there are other financial instruments traded on Forex. They are metals: gold, silver, platinum, etc.

The international market includes different types of metal operations: spot, swap, and forward deals, operations with derivatives (futures, options). If we are talking about Forex, we mean spot market as assets are not delivered to the purchaser. Metal trading is conducted using trading or web platform, so it does not differ from trading other financial instruments. Prices on the spot market depend on demand and supply, and buyer possesses proprietary rights as soon as he buys an asset.

goldsilverPrecious metals have dual character: they are both valuable industrial commodity and reliable investment instrument. Precious metals are considered by private and institutional investors to be instrument of speculation, hedging, and risk diversification.

The largest centers of metal trading are London, New York, and Zurich. The gold price is daily influenced by the fixing – estimation of equilibrium price based on the current demand and supply.

Compared to currencies, metals are also traded 24 hours a day, but one of the symbols in the pair is precious metal. Here are examples: XAU/USD for the gold/US dollar pair, XAG/USD for the silver/US dollar pair. Traditionally metal prices are quoted in the US dollars for troy ounce (31.1035 gram) and traded in lots. If the rate rises, it means that an ounce becomes more expensive and costs more US dollars. If the rate falls, the metal becomes cheaper against the US dollar.

The first place by trading volume is taken by gold. It is the safe haven for investors to wait out an economic turmoil.

The second place is taken by silver. It is cheaper but it can save its value. Sometimes silver price grows faster than the gold one.

As metal trading technique has small difference from the currency one, it does not require separate strategy. Methods of fundamental analysis and various technical indicators can be applied to metal trading. However, price of any financial instrument has its own dynamics. Precious metal market also has its ups and downs: metal prices are interrelated with the economical and political factors as well as the major currency rates. For example, Eurozone debt crisis has influenced the gold price: the precious metal price declined amid the euro rate plunge down. The gold price and the US dollar prices have invert correlation: growing concerns about the reserve currency force the gold price to rise, and when the US dollar strengthens, the gold price moves down. High volatility on the currency market can cause sharp movements on the metal market.

Nevertheless, investments in the precious metals are rather safe. During the crisis investors often choose gold or silver to keep their money safe.

Added by Svetlana Degtyareva,
InstaForex Clients’ relationship manager

14.01.2012 Post in Trading

Speaking about Forex trading efficiency, people often mention teamwork. Who is more efficient on Forex: individual trader or a team of traders working in a synch? Traditionally, every private investor is for himself on Forex. However, teamwork may vary a bit, being formal or informal. Traders have not agreed on teamwork efficiency though. Some say that a team is totally unsuitable on Forex while others find good reasons in defense of a collective mind. We will consider pros and cons as well.

Physiological aspects of team and individual trading are considered as the most controversial issues. Trading alone, you are alone responsible for your decisions which you do not need to coordinate with other traders. You spend on market analysis as much time as you deem necessary to make a trade. Still a possibility that you make a wrong decision is high. A man has limited capabilities, and provided that you are not enough skilled, a risk to lose is much higher.

komandaIn a team, responsibility is shared by its members both psychologically and econominally. A team collectively discusses a problem and elaborates a decision that will satisfy all its members. It does not annul risks though. Collective decisions may be even more risky than individual. It is again associated with psychology of teamwork: a team may overestimate the value of a profitable trade and underestimate the risk of losing. Working as a team, people normally tend towards positive risks. Moreover, members may confide decision-making in their experienced co-member or leader thus decreasing efficiency of collective work.

Fortunately, a team may incorporate different people with different skills who can provide together a comprehensive evaluation of challenges. In addition, a total capital of a team is generally more that a capital of an individual trader.

A sort of hierarchy is recommended even for informal teams. Members should share coordinated purposes rather than seek personal profits. The main challenge is time which is required more to make a collective decision, especially when members disagree. But a team may have a formal or informal leader with a decisive vote. Team members can also set certain limits and divide scope of activity.

There is no categorical answer on whether it is better to trade on Forex alone or in a team. Nevertheless, most traders agree that if you work in a team, you should better make sure that your team consists of professions only who know their business and can follow rules.

Added by Kristina Leshkevich,
InstaForex Clients’ relationship manager